THE NATURAL INTEREST RATE FALLACY: WHY NEGATIVE INTEREST RATE POLICY MAY WORSEN KEYNESIAN UNEMPLOYMENT?

Interest Rate Pegs in New Keynesian Models∗

The conventional policy perspective is that lowering the interest rate increases output and inflation in the short run, while maintaining inflation at a higher level requires a higher interest rate in the long run. In contrast it has been argued that a Neo-Fisherian policy of setting an interest-rate peg at a fixed higher level will increase the inflation rate. We show that adaptive learning ar...

Investigating the Relationship between the Facility Interest Rate and the Bank Deposit Interest Rate in Iran

The facility interest rate is one of the most important macroeconomic variables. The bank facility interest rate is associated with other macro-economic variables, one of which is the bank deposit interest rate. Using the time series data of the 1973-2017 period and the simultaneous equation system, the researchers estimated four equations using the three-stage least squares method.The result o...

Global Knowledge, Local Solutions: Interest Rate and Monetary Policy

Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest

A key variable for the conduct of monetary policy is the natural rate of interest – the real interest rate consistent with output equaling potential and stable inflation. Economic theory implies that the natural rate of interest varies over time and depends on the trend growth rate of output. In this paper we apply the Kalman filter to jointly estimate the natural rate of interest, potential ou...

Deviations from Uncovered Interest Rate Parity: A Post Keynesian Explanation